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Crude oil has stopped falling again!

发稿时间:2019-11-11 来源: Panamdaily

 

  Russia's current crude oil production has exceeded its highest level in history, and there is no sign that Russia's momentum of increasing production is ending. In terms of Russia's dependence on oil prices, its fiscal balance has dropped from $60 to less than $50, and production costs are still declining, so the current price is totally acceptable to Russia, and it is absolutely unnecessary for him to join in the production cuts.
 
  Of course, it is not entirely impossible for Russia to join the ranks of output cuts. This requires Putin to assess how much political benefits he can bring when he joins the production cuts camp. As far as the United States is concerned, although Trump tried to defend the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia despite his reputation as a "lighthouse nation" in the Kashugi incident, the voice of opposition from home also made Trump restrained. Under such circumstances, Saudi Arabia urgently needs a partner who can stabilize its political structure, either the United States or Russia. If Russia takes the initiative to say goodwill to Saudi Arabia at this time, then Putin will be greatly welcomed by Saudi Arabia. It's a bit like Erdogan was almost purged by the United States. If Putin hadn't done anything to protect Erdogan at that time, I don't believe there would have been a Russian-Turkish interest alliance. Similarly, Putin could replicate this model at this particular time.
 
  From this point of view, we believe that Russia is likely to join the ranks of production reduction. One reason is that Russia's crude oil production reached a new high in October, which is the basis for production reduction. Another reason is, of course, strategic considerations. At this time, the reduction of production ranks for him can be described as "one stone, two birds with one stone".

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